February 2019

SUGAR: U.S. beet sugar production for 2018/19 is unchanged at 4.900 million short tons, raw value (STRV) as an increase in projected sucrose recovery from sliced sugarbeets is offset by less sugarbeet production estimated by NASS. Cane sugar production for 2018/19 in Louisiana is increased to 1.875 million STRV based on a reporting of cane processor manufacturing results completed in January. Cane sugar production for Florida is increased to 2.091 million STRV based on higher sugarcane production forecast by NASS and a processor recovery forecast of 12.48 percent. Beginning stocks for 2018/19 are increased 59,700 STRV based on cane processors’ and refiners’ revisions in the Sweetener Market Data. Tariff-rate quota imports are reduced by 4,002 STRV. Lower-than-expected entries of FTA sugar under calendar-year 2018 TRQs more than offset additional 2017/18 WTO TRQ sugar entered under USDA waivers in October 2018. In sum, projected ending stocks are increased by 131,698 STRV to 1.795 million for a stocks-to-use ratio of 14.59 percent. There are no changes to the Mexico 2018/19 supply and use balance.

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